Thursday, April 24, 2008

Had fallen below 3000 --- very bad signal

by:汪丁丁


If it is recognized that the so-called "psychological Index"predictive ability, then fell below 3,000 points horizon, it will affect the future trend of stock prices - declined further to the possibility of greatly 2500-2700. In other words, to return to long-term support level. Third quarter of this year the most difficult, but it seems that the development of the automotive industry may promote the overall economic situation »



A shares Zaiyan "roller coaster"Hu Zhi fell below 3,000 points after

"Financial"Zhuo Zhang's "Financial Network"[04-22 17:47]


the near future will be around 3,000 points, or repeated shocks, but the market for macroeconomic growth slowdown and high inflation worries lingering pessimism still prevail


[ "Financial Network"Zhuangao/reporter Zhuo Zhang- Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets on April 22 once again staged a substantial shocks "roller coaster"market, after a time Shangzhengzongzhi Fell below 3,000 points psychological barrier, and then staged a reversal, the end-to-week. However, market investors are generally not optimistic, pessimistic sentiments still prevail.
market today extended yesterday's decline Gaokaidizou trend, Hu Zhi closed below 3100 points after the shock down, and soon nearly 3,000 points juncture, then triggered a wave of intraday rebound, But the inability to rebound, the final choice of a downward market, the index once again declined substantially pm and 13:50 below 3,000 points rounded juncture, the lowest intraday lowered 2990.79, its March 20, 2007 the lowest value. Fear led to a large area once stocks plummeted, with the exception of the ST shares Dieting stocks were more than 150.
Subsequently, in the financial, led by property stocks, the market rebounded sharply, stocks in the index Vanke A (the Shenzhen Stock Exchange code: 000002), Ping An of China (Shanghai Stock Exchange code: 601318), China Petroleum (Shanghai Stock Exchange code: 601857), the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Shanghai Stock Exchange code: 601398), all Tandi rebound, led the index higher. The Shanghai index recovered 310 points the final juncture, to close at 3147.79 points, up 0.99 percent. Shen Chengzhi to close at 11174.77 points, up 0.731 percent. The two cities a total of 505 stocks rose, 1168 fell. Turnover than the day before the two cities are shrinking significantly.
financial plate today become multi-index pulling back when the main driving force, 28 units in addition to one-stop, full realization of closing up the whole plate or more than 4 percent. China opened oil is below 16 yuan, the lowest afternoon at 15.35 yuan, or approaching 5 percent, eventually recovered 16 yuan, or narrowed to 0.31 percent.
Jinliang Ri market for the huge shocks, the market research department manager of Shenyin Wanguo Gui Haoming on "Financial", said that only after the trend today, the market is likely to only one Chaodie rebound reaction, really Tandi success also hard to say.
Gui Haoming said that the Commission limit the sale of shares on the lifting of the ban following the introduction of the guidance, the market's performance this good news does not succeed, so inertia lower after the opening bell, and then 3000 rounded crossing points clear of supporting effectiveness, this place also in line with the market after this adjustment was expected, triggering long Chaodi Admission to the buyer. However, the multi-back is still the main constraints in the use of market shares, such as the Industrial and Commercial Bank of pulling the index, the market is likely to be near this point in 3000 launched a period of time "see-saw."After repeated shocks, multi-whether this regain confidence, out of the wave of decent rebound, remains to be seen.
Changjiang Securities analyst, Wei Cheung of the current market situation is even more cautious view. Xiang-wei, the "Financial", said that these two days of the huge market shocks, clearly reflected in the Ruoshi, the market for the ambivalence of good news. From a practical situation, the Commission shares the lifting of the ban on the sale of limited views of this measure is not likely to limit the sale of shares lifting of the ban have a real impact. Not only that, the policy level can be real good on the market can be very few options.
when Wei Cheung, in macro-economic slowdown, corporate profits would decline as a backdrop, almost all trades are difficult to escape impact plate, it is difficult for the market's reversal Find a suitable investment target, even if there are short-term rebound, it will be difficult lasting.
one who believes that the fund industry, from a technical perspective, 3,000 points is just a psychological barrier, short-term or repeated here, but there is no substantial support forces. From the fundamentals, we expect the macroeconomic trends do not optimistic that the 2008 first quarter economic growth, "peaked"a great possibility, the listed company's profits may come down gradually since then, coupled with the rising international oil prices continue to , Lingering inflation expectations, this is the main Gongmu funds and other institutions have Shadie the root causes, the policy has also decided to "rescue"difficult to be effective.

original link:http://wang-dingding.blog.sohu.com/85422133.html

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